Budget 2026 India Highlights: Stock Market Impact & Tax Changes

Budget 2026 India Highlights: Stock Market Impact & Tax Changes

Budget 2026 India: Complete Breakdown for Stock Market Investors

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presented Union Budget 2026 on February 1, 2026, marking a transformative shift toward manufacturing, infrastructure, and tax simplification. The Budget 2026 India introduces major reforms affecting stock market investors, taxpayers, and businesses, with significant sectoral allocations that could reshape investment strategies for years to come.

Budget 2026 India: What Makes It Different

Union Budget 2026 represents Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s vision for “Viksit Bharat” (Developed India), built on three fundamental kartavyas (duties): accelerating economic growth, fulfilling aspirations of youth and professionals, and ensuring inclusive development across all regions. This budget was uniquely prepared in the newly named Kartavya Bhawan (formerly North Block), symbolizing a fresh approach to fiscal policy.

The Budget 2026 India distinguishes itself through unprecedented capital expenditure at ₹12.2 lakh crore, a 24% increase from the previous year, signaling the government’s unwavering commitment to infrastructure-led growth. The total expenditure for FY26 is pegged at ₹50.65 lakh crore, with careful attention to maintaining fiscal prudence while stimulating economic expansion.

What truly sets Budget 2026 apart is its laser focus on manufacturing resurgence through the National Manufacturing Mission, targeting strategic sectors like footwear, leather, toys, and solar PV cells. Additionally, the introduction of the new Income Tax Act 2025, effective from April 2026, promises simplified compliance for millions of taxpayers, marking the most comprehensive tax reform in decades according to the Ministry of Finance.

Budget 2026 Stock Market Impact Analysis

The immediate Budget 2026 stock market impact was negative, with the Sensex plunging 1,547 points (1.9%) to close at 80,722.94, while Nifty 50 dropped 495 points (2%) to settle at 24,825.45 on budget day. This sharp correction reveals investor concerns about specific policy announcements that directly affect capital markets and financial sector profitability.

Why Did Markets Fall Despite Positive Announcements?

The primary culprit behind the market selloff was the hike in Securities Transaction Tax (STT), which spooked capital market intermediaries and brokers. MCX shares crashed 12%, while Angel One and BSE tumbled over 8% each, reflecting fears of reduced trading volumes and compressed margins in the brokerage industry according to Moneycontrol analysis.

PSU banking stocks witnessed sharp declines amid announcement of a high-level committee to review the banking sector, raising concerns about potential forced mergers among public sector banks. Historical data shows that bank mergers create near-term performance drag due to integration challenges, operational disruptions, and cultural mismatches between merging entities.

However, seasoned investors recognize that budget-day volatility often presents strategic entry points. The Budget 2026 fundamentals remain strong with pro-growth policies, manufacturing incentives, and infrastructure spending that should support long-term market expansion once initial jitters subside.

⚡ Key Market Triggers from Budget 2026

  • STT hike impacting brokerages and exchanges negatively
  • Banking sector review committee raising merger concerns
  • Elevated government borrowing at ₹11.54 lakh crore putting pressure on interest rates
  • Positive long-term outlook for infrastructure, manufacturing, and defense sectors
  • Capital goods exemptions for EV and battery manufacturing creating sectoral opportunities

Budget 2026 Tax Changes: What Investors Must Know

Budget 2026 tax changes bring substantial relief for middle-class taxpayers and simplify compliance through rationalization of TDS and TCS provisions. The most transformative change is the introduction of the new Income Tax Act 2025, which will come into effect from April 2026, replacing the decades-old Income Tax Act of 1961.

Major Tax Relief Measures

The Budget 2026 India significantly reduces the Tax Collected at Source (TCS) burden on education and medical remittances under the Liberalized Remittance Scheme (LRS), cutting rates from 5% to just 2%. For overseas tour packages, TCS rates have been slashed from 5%-20% to a uniform 2%, making international travel more affordable for Indian families.

Senior citizens receive special attention with doubled tax deduction limits to ₹1 lakh, acknowledging their financial needs and healthcare expenses. The annual TDS threshold on rent payments has been raised from ₹2.4 lakh to ₹6 lakh, benefiting millions of landlords and tenants by reducing compliance requirements.

For the first time, tax benefits have been extended to two self-occupied houses instead of just one, providing relief to families maintaining multiple residences due to work or family commitments. The time limit to file updated income tax returns has been generously extended to four years, giving taxpayers greater flexibility to correct inadvertent errors.

Investor-Specific Tax Changes

Non-resident Indians (NRIs) receive a major boost with Portfolio Management Services (PMS) investment limits increased from 5-10% to 24%, opening substantial capital flow opportunities for Indian markets. Tax exemptions for foreign investments in data centers have been extended till 2047, providing long-term visibility for technology infrastructure investments.

The reduction in buyback tax and resolution of the long-pending Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) credit issue addresses critical concerns of corporate India and institutional investors. MAT exemption has been granted to all non-residents who pay tax on presumptive basis, simplifying cross-border taxation.

Tax CategoryPrevious Rate/LimitBudget 2026 Rate/LimitImpact
TCS on LRS (Education/Medical)5%2%Lower remittance cost
TCS on Tour Packages5%-20%2%Travel becomes affordable
TDS on Rent (Annual)₹2.4 lakh₹6 lakhReduced compliance burden
Self-Occupied House Tax Benefit1 house2 housesMulti-residence owners benefit
Senior Citizen Deduction₹50,000₹1 lakh100% increase in relief
NRI PMS Investment Limit5-10%24%Higher FPI inflows expected

Manufacturing Revolution: 7 Strategic Sectors

The Budget 2026 India launches the ambitious National Manufacturing Mission targeting seven strategic and frontier sectors designed to position India as a global manufacturing powerhouse. This mission represents the government’s vision to reduce import dependency, create millions of jobs, and boost exports across labor-intensive and technology-driven industries.

The footwear and leather sector receives dedicated focus through a product-linked incentive scheme aimed at creating 22 lakh jobs and significantly boosting exports. India’s traditional strength in leather processing combined with competitive labor costs presents a compelling opportunity to capture global market share from China and Vietnam.

Toys manufacturing gets special emphasis as part of the Atmanirbhar Bharat initiative, targeting to transform India from a major toy importer to a global exporter. The solar PV cells ecosystem receives comprehensive support including customs duty exemptions on critical raw materials and capital goods, accelerating India’s renewable energy transition while building manufacturing capabilities.

Manufacturing Support Infrastructure

Electronics manufacturing benefits from reduced basic customs duty on components for EVs, electronics, and telecom equipment, making domestic production more competitive. Open-cell manufacturing for televisions has been completely exempted from customs duty, encouraging backward integration in the electronics value chain.

Additional capital goods for EV and mobile battery manufacturing now enjoy exemptions, directly supporting India’s electric mobility goals and reducing reliance on imported batteries. The government has also committed to eliminating multiple cesses and surcharges, ensuring not more than one levy per item, which dramatically simplifies tax compliance for manufacturers according to PwC India’s budget analysis.

Beyond sector-specific initiatives, the budget addresses broader manufacturing challenges through enhanced MSME credit guarantee cover doubled to ₹10 crore, providing crucial working capital access for small manufacturers. The creation of City Economic Regions with dedicated industrial corridors promises world-class infrastructure for manufacturing clusters.

Infrastructure Spending: ₹12.2 Lakh Crore Engine

Budget 2026 allocates an unprecedented ₹12.2 lakh crore to infrastructure development, representing a 24% year-over-year increase that underscores the government’s infrastructure-first growth strategy. This massive capital expenditure program spans transport, energy, urban development, and digital connectivity, creating a multiplier effect across the economy.

Transport Infrastructure Revolution

The budget announces a new dedicated Freight Corridor linking Dankuni (East) to Surat (West), complementing existing freight corridors and significantly reducing logistics costs for manufacturers. Seven new High-Speed Rail corridors will connect growth clusters, transforming intercity connectivity and supporting economic integration across regions.

The maritime sector receives focused attention through 20 new National Waterways to be developed over five years, along with a Maritime Development Fund of ₹25,000 crore. The Coastal Cargo Promotion Scheme aims to double the inland and coastal shipping share from 6% to 12% by 2047, reducing pressure on roads and railways while cutting logistics costs.

Urban infrastructure gets a massive boost through the ₹1 lakh crore Urban Challenge Fund dedicated to building next-generation cities with smart infrastructure, sustainable transport, and quality of life improvements. This fund will likely support metro rail projects, urban roads, water supply systems, and waste management facilities across tier-1 and tier-2 cities.

Energy Infrastructure & Security

Nuclear power expansion receives priority with customs duty exemptions on critical components, supporting India’s goal of tripling nuclear capacity over the next decade. Critical minerals required for battery manufacturing and renewable energy are now available at concessional duty rates, reducing dependence on China for strategic raw materials.

The biogas blended CNG initiative gets policy support through duty rationalization, promoting cleaner fuels while providing additional income opportunities for farmers through agricultural waste monetization. Civil and defense aviation infrastructure receives attention through customs relief on aircraft components and ground handling equipment.

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Budget 2026 Sectoral Winners & Losers

Budget 2026 creates clear winners and losers across market sectors, with manufacturing, infrastructure, and defense emerging as primary beneficiaries while capital market intermediaries face near-term headwinds. Understanding these sectoral shifts is crucial for portfolio rebalancing and identifying investment opportunities in the post-budget environment.

Top Sectoral Winners

Infrastructure and construction companies stand to benefit enormously from the 24% increase in capital expenditure to ₹12.2 lakh crore, with multi-year order book visibility for companies engaged in roads, railways, ports, and urban infrastructure. Defense spending increased by 21%, creating opportunities for defense equipment manufacturers, aerospace companies, and supporting ancillary industries.

Manufacturing sector receives comprehensive policy support through the National Manufacturing Mission, with footwear, leather, toys, electronics, and EV components seeing duty rationalization and incentive programs. Capital goods companies benefit from increased infrastructure spending and manufacturing expansion, with specific duty exemptions making their equipment more competitive.

Renewable energy companies gain from solar PV ecosystem support, nuclear power expansion, and customs duty relief on critical components, accelerating India’s clean energy transition. Real estate and cement companies benefit from urban infrastructure push, housing initiatives, and construction activity driven by infrastructure projects.

Sectoral Challenges

Brokerage and stock exchange companies face immediate pressure from STT hike, potentially reducing trading volumes and compressing profit margins in a highly competitive industry. PSU banks witness uncertainty due to the banking sector review committee that could mandate mergers, creating integration challenges and near-term performance drag.

FMCG and consumer discretionary sectors received no specific incentives despite expectations of consumption stimulus, potentially limiting near-term growth catalysts. IT services companies got moderate support through tax rationalization but lacked major incentives despite being positioned as India’s growth engine.

SectorBudget ImpactKey DriversInvestment Outlook
Infrastructure & ConstructionHighly Positive₹12.2L cr capex, freight corridors, urban fundStrong multi-year growth
Defense & AerospaceHighly Positive21% spending increase, duty reliefOrder book expansion
Manufacturing (Footwear, Leather, Toys)Highly PositiveNational Manufacturing Mission, export focusJob creation, export growth
Renewable Energy & SolarPositiveSolar PV support, duty exemptionsCapacity expansion ahead
Capital GoodsPositiveManufacturing push, infrastructure spendingCyclical upturn expected
Banking (PSU)NegativeMerger concerns, review committeeNear-term uncertainty
Brokerages & ExchangesNegativeSTT hike, volume impactMargin compression risk
FMCG & ConsumerNeutralNo specific stimulusSector-specific stock picking

Understanding your risk profile and avoiding common mistakes becomes crucial when navigating sectoral rotations. Read our comprehensive guide on Stock Market Mistakes India: 10 Beginner Errors to avoid costly portfolio decisions during volatile post-budget periods.

Fiscal Discipline: Deficit & Borrowing Plans

Budget 2026 maintains fiscal discipline while pursuing growth objectives, with the FY25 fiscal deficit pegged at 4.8% and a target of 4.4% for FY26. This gradual deficit reduction path demonstrates the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation without compromising critical infrastructure and social spending.

The net market borrowing is set at ₹11.54 lakh crore for FY26, which represents a significant funding requirement that could influence interest rate dynamics and bond market yields. This elevated borrowing level reflects the government’s ambitious infrastructure agenda and the need to fund various social sector programs while managing debt sustainability.

To reduce reliance on market borrowing, the government has announced an ambitious asset monetization plan targeting ₹10 lakh crore in receipts. This program will involve monetizing operational infrastructure assets like highways, railways, power transmission lines, and airports through innovative structures like InvITs and REITs, attracting long-term institutional capital.

Credit Rating & Investment Implications

The maintenance of fiscal glide path is crucial for preserving India’s sovereign credit rating and attracting foreign portfolio investment. Rating agencies closely monitor fiscal deficit trajectories, debt-to-GDP ratios, and government’s ability to meet fiscal targets, making this disciplined approach essential for maintaining market confidence.

For bond market investors, the borrowing calendar and deficit numbers provide clarity on g-sec supply, helping price bond yields appropriately. The commitment to fiscal consolidation should keep long-term yields stable despite elevated near-term borrowing requirements.

The disinvestment target has been raised sharply to ₹80,000 crore from ₹30,000 crore, signaling aggressive stake sales in PSU companies. This creates potential investment opportunities in well-run PSUs that may see government stake dilution through Offer for Sale (OFS) routes at attractive valuations.

MSME & Startup Support Measures

Budget 2026 recognizes MSMEs and startups as engines of job creation and innovation, introducing several measures to enhance their access to capital, reduce compliance burden, and support scaling. The MSME classification limits have been enhanced, allowing more companies to benefit from MSME-specific schemes and incentives.

The credit guarantee cover has been doubled from ₹5 crore to ₹10 crore, addressing one of the biggest pain points for small manufacturers – access to affordable working capital without collateral. This enhanced guarantee mechanism will enable banks to lend more confidently to MSMEs, particularly in manufacturing sectors targeted by the National Manufacturing Mission.

A new ₹10,000 crore fund-of-funds specifically for startups signals continued government support for the innovation ecosystem despite global funding winter challenges. This fund will likely invest through SEBI-registered Alternative Investment Funds (AIFs) specializing in early-stage and growth-stage startups across sectors like fintech, healthtech, cleantech, and deeptech.

Gig Worker & Platform Economy Support

The budget introduces specific provisions for gig workers and the platform economy, recognizing the growing importance of this employment segment. Social security measures and simplified tax compliance for gig workers acknowledge the changing nature of work and employment relationships in the digital age.

MSMEs benefit from the government’s commitment to removing multiple cesses and surcharges, simplifying tax structure and reducing compliance complexity. The rationalization of TDS provisions for supply of manpower services to 1-2% reduces working capital blockage for MSME service providers.

Champions SME program aims to identify and support high-growth SMEs with potential to become mid-sized companies, providing them with access to markets, technology, and capital. This targeted support can help create the next generation of Indian multinational corporations from the MSME sector.

For investors looking to position their portfolios for long-term growth, understanding valuation becomes critical. Our detailed guide on How to Find Undervalued Stocks India: The One Ratio Beginners Miss provides practical frameworks for identifying quality SME and mid-cap opportunities in post-budget sectoral themes.

Agriculture & Rural Focus

Budget 2026 dedicates substantial attention to increasing farmer incomes and rural prosperity through multiple interventions spanning credit access, high-value agriculture, crop diversification, and agricultural infrastructure. The Kisan Credit Scheme loan limits have been expanded, providing farmers with greater access to institutional credit for cultivation and allied activities.

The Bharat-VISTAAR (Virtually Integrated System to Access Agricultural Resources) platform represents a digital transformation of agricultural extension services, connecting farmers with markets, inputs, credit, and knowledge through technology. This platform can help reduce information asymmetry and improve farmer realization by connecting them directly with buyers.

New missions for pulses, fisheries, fruits, and vegetables aim to diversify agricultural production away from traditional cereals toward high-value crops with better profitability. These missions will likely include infrastructure support for cold chains, processing facilities, and market linkages crucial for perishable commodities.

Regional Agricultural Initiatives

A dedicated Makhana Board will be established in Bihar, recognizing the state’s dominance in this high-value crop and potential for export expansion. Makhana (fox nuts) represents the type of niche, high-value agricultural products where India can build global leadership through organized support.

Investments in irrigation infrastructure, particularly micro-irrigation and water conservation, receive budgetary support to improve water use efficiency and expand irrigated area. Better irrigation coverage directly translates to higher yields, cropping intensity, and farmer incomes while reducing vulnerability to monsoon variability.

The budget’s focus on crop diversification toward pulses addresses India’s structural protein deficit and dependence on lentil imports. Increased domestic pulse production can improve nutritional security while reducing import bills and supporting farmer incomes in rain-fed areas.

Investment Strategy Post Budget 2026

Navigating the post-Budget 2026 investment landscape requires understanding both immediate market reactions and long-term structural themes emerging from policy announcements. The sharp budget-day correction presents potential entry opportunities for patient investors in fundamentally strong sectors aligned with government priorities.

Core Portfolio Themes

Infrastructure and construction companies should form the core of growth-oriented portfolios given the 24% capex increase and multi-year visibility on order books. Focus on companies with strong balance sheets, execution capabilities, and diversified order books across roads, railways, urban infrastructure, and water sectors.

Manufacturing companies in targeted sectors (footwear, leather, toys, electronics, EVs) offer compelling opportunities as the National Manufacturing Mission unfolds. Look for companies with export orientation, modern facilities, and ability to scale production to capture global market share.

Defense and aerospace stocks warrant allocation given the 21% budget increase and government’s Atmanirbhar Bharat focus on indigenization. Select companies with proven delivery records, technology partnerships, and diversified product portfolios across ammunition, systems, and platforms.

Tactical Positioning

Renewable energy and solar companies benefit from long-term policy tailwinds despite near-term market volatility, making them suitable for staggered accumulation. Focus on integrated players with manufacturing capabilities rather than pure EPC companies vulnerable to margin pressure.

Capital goods companies stand at an inflection point with manufacturing revival and infrastructure boom driving demand for equipment, machinery, and systems. Avoid overleveraged companies and prefer those with healthy return ratios and order book visibility.

Bank and financial stocks require selective approach – private sector banks with strong liability franchises remain attractive, while PSU banks face merger uncertainty. NBFCs focused on MSME lending and affordable housing benefit from credit guarantee enhancement and housing demand.

Risk Management

Avoid concentrated bets on beaten-down capital market intermediaries until STT impact becomes clearer through management commentary and quarterly results. The brokerage sector may take several quarters to adjust business models and pricing to offset STT-driven margin compression.

Maintain portfolio diversification across sectors to avoid concentration risk from policy changes or sectoral headwinds. Even in a positive budgetary environment, stock-specific and sector-specific risks persist requiring careful position sizing.

Understanding market psychology and avoiding fear-based decisions becomes crucial during post-budget volatility. Read our detailed analysis on Stock Market Fear India: Psychological Traps & Big Losses to develop mental frameworks for rational decision-making during market turbulence.

For investors employing index strategies, understanding the Nifty 50 composition and rebalancing patterns matters more post-budget as sectoral weights may shift. Our guide on Nifty 50 Strategy India: BlackRock’s Simple Method provides frameworks for systematic index investing aligned with long-term wealth creation.

Trading Calendar Awareness

Planning your investment execution around market holidays helps optimize entry and exit timing. Check the complete Stock Market Holidays 2026: Complete NSE BSE Trading Calendar to plan your trading activities efficiently and avoid last-minute rushes before long weekends.

💡 Key Investment Takeaways from Budget 2026

  • Focus on infrastructure, manufacturing, and defense for long-term wealth creation
  • Use market corrections as strategic entry points in quality companies
  • Maintain diversification across market caps and sectors
  • Avoid knee-jerk reactions to budget-day volatility
  • Position portfolios for 3-5 year structural themes rather than quarterly plays
  • Monitor quarterly results for actual implementation and earnings impact

📚 About the Author

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Frequently Asked Questions About Budget 2026 India

What are the key highlights of Budget 2026 India?

Budget 2026 India key highlights include ₹12.2 lakh crore infrastructure spending (24% increase), National Manufacturing Mission targeting 7 sectors, new Income Tax Act 2025 from April 2026, TCS reduction from 5% to 2% on education/medical remittances, ₹10,000 crore startup fund, 21% defense spending increase, and fiscal deficit target of 4.4% for FY26. The budget focuses on manufacturing resurgence, infrastructure-led growth, and tax simplification.

How does Budget 2026 impact stock market investors?

Budget 2026 stock market impact is mixed with immediate negative reaction (Sensex down 1.9%, Nifty down 2%) due to STT hike affecting brokerages and PSU bank merger concerns. Long-term impact is positive for infrastructure, manufacturing, defense, capital goods, and renewable energy sectors. Investors should focus on sectors aligned with government priorities like construction, defense equipment, electronics manufacturing, and solar energy while being cautious on capital market intermediaries.

What are the major tax changes in Budget 2026 for investors?

Budget 2026 tax changes for investors include new Income Tax Act 2025 effective April 2026, TCS reduction on LRS from 5% to 2%, NRI PMS investment limit increased from 5-10% to 24%, tax exemption for foreign investments in data centers till 2047, buyback tax reduction, MAT exemption for non-residents on presumptive basis, and self-occupied house benefit extended to 2 properties. These changes simplify compliance and reduce tax burden on investors.

Which sectors are winners in Budget 2026?

Budget 2026 sectoral winners include infrastructure and construction (₹12.2L cr capex boost), defense and aerospace (21% spending increase), manufacturing sectors like footwear, leather, toys (National Manufacturing Mission), renewable energy and solar (duty exemptions and policy support), capital goods (manufacturing and infra demand), real estate and cement (urban infrastructure push), and EV ecosystem (battery manufacturing incentives). These sectors should see multi-year growth trajectory.

What is the National Manufacturing Mission announced in Budget 2026?

National Manufacturing Mission announced in Budget 2026 targets 7 strategic sectors: footwear and leather (22 lakh jobs creation), toys manufacturing, solar PV cells ecosystem, electronics, EV components, textiles, and marine products. The mission includes customs duty rationalization, capital goods exemptions, dedicated product-linked incentive schemes, export promotion support, and infrastructure creation to position India as global manufacturing hub and reduce import dependency.

How much infrastructure spending is allocated in Budget 2026?

Budget 2026 allocates ₹12.2 lakh crore for infrastructure development, representing 24% increase from previous year. Key infrastructure projects include new Dankuni-Surat Freight Corridor, 7 High-Speed Rail corridors, 20 National Waterways, ₹25,000 crore Maritime Development Fund, ₹1 lakh crore Urban Challenge Fund, and expansion in nuclear power and renewable energy infrastructure. This is the highest ever infrastructure allocation in India’s budget history.

What is the fiscal deficit target in Budget 2026?

Budget 2026 fiscal deficit target is 4.4% of GDP for FY26, reduced from 4.8% in FY25. Total expenditure is estimated at ₹50.65 lakh crore with net market borrowing set at ₹11.54 lakh crore. The government plans ₹10 lakh crore asset monetization and ₹80,000 crore disinvestment to reduce market borrowing dependence. This gradual fiscal consolidation path maintains growth momentum while ensuring debt sustainability and credit rating stability.

How does Budget 2026 support MSMEs and startups?

Budget 2026 MSME and startup support includes enhanced MSME classification limits, credit guarantee cover doubled to ₹10 crore enabling collateral-free lending, new ₹10,000 crore fund-of-funds for startups, Champions SME program for high-growth companies, simplified TDS/TCS compliance, and gig worker social security provisions. These measures address critical challenges of capital access, scaling support, and compliance burden reduction for small businesses and innovation ecosystem.

Why did stock market fall after Budget 2026 announcement?

Stock market fell after Budget 2026 due to STT (Securities Transaction Tax) hike impacting brokerages and exchanges, with MCX down 12% and Angel One, BSE down 8%. PSU banks declined on banking sector review committee announcement raising merger concerns. Elevated government borrowing of ₹11.54 lakh crore created interest rate pressure concerns. Despite positive long-term fundamentals, these specific negative triggers dominated budget-day sentiment causing Sensex to fall 1,547 points and Nifty to drop 495 points.

What investment strategy should investors follow post Budget 2026?

Post Budget 2026 investment strategy should focus on infrastructure, manufacturing, and defense stocks for long-term wealth creation. Use budget-day corrections as strategic entry points in quality companies with strong balance sheets and order visibility. Maintain portfolio diversification across sectors and market caps. Position portfolios for 3-5 year structural themes like manufacturing revival, infrastructure boom, and renewable energy transition rather than short-term trades. Avoid overleveraged companies and those facing regulatory headwinds like capital market intermediaries.

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